Charts are displayed automatically once the exchange market opens for that day and the necessary data is available.
Please wait a moment for the display to appear.
| time | country | Importance | index | Previous Results | prediction | result | Differences between results and expectations | Rate fluctuations after announcement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇬🇧 England | ★ | August Construction Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★ | July Retail Sales [MoM] |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇪🇺 Europe | ★ | July Retail Sales [Year-on-Year Comparison] |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★★ | ADP Employment Statistics for August [Monthly Change] |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | July trade balance |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | Initial unemployment claims last week |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | Number of people continuing to receive unemployment insurance from the previous week |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | August Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, revised) |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★ | August Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI, revised) |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
|||||
| 🇺🇸 America | ★★ | August ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (Overall) |
Graphical display
Could not get graph data
Displays the rate fluctuations after the index is announced on a graph.
|
* We have selected the most important indicators. Not all indicators are listed.
Today's Outlook
USD/JPY continues to lack clear direction today, with the overall market adopting a wait-and-see stance. With a string of important economic indicators due to be released between today and tomorrow, caution is likely when taking on new positions. European trading is likely to see only small fluctuations, and liquidity is expected to be limited in the New York market as investors await the release of new indicators. Under these circumstances, a flexible approach of buying on dips and selling on rallies, based on a range-based strategy with limited risk, is likely to be effective today.
EURUSD continues to show a lack of direction today, lacking a clear trend amid a mix of buying and selling pressure. With a series of important economic indicators due to be released between today and tomorrow, market participants are likely to be more hesitant to take on new positions. Major movements are likely to be limited in European markets, and liquidity in the New York market may also decline as investors await the release of indicators. Overall, this is a time when a combination of buying on dips and selling on rallies, based on a range strategy with limited risk, is in order.
With a series of important economic indicators due to be released between today and tomorrow, the GBP/USD is in a position where the overall market is likely to adopt a wait-and-see attitude. While a downward trend is expected, no major movements were seen the previous day as the market was dominated by corrections. If any downward movements are attempted after European hours, strategies aimed at selling on rebounds will be in focus. However, as we are in an environment where we are waiting for new information, it is a time when risk-limiting responses are required.
Today's AUD/USD is in an environment where the market as a whole is prone to adopting a wait-and-see attitude, as important economic indicators are due to be released between now and tomorrow. While the sense of direction is upward, the focus will be on whether there will be an aggressive move to chase higher prices. There is a possibility of buying back in the European market, but the formation of a major trend will likely depend on the results of the indicators. While the overall trend is one of buying on dips, it is a situation where we need to carefully assess the strength of the move to test the highs.
Hints for tomorrow seen in retrospect
With important indicators coming up, the market as a whole adopted a wait-and-see attitude today, with no major price movements seen until New York time. There was a brief buying surge following the release of the indicators, but afterwards, investors became cautious about chasing higher prices, and the price remained in a small range. European time saw similarly limited price movements, and the day lacked direction overall. As a result, it seems that trading was centered on capturing small movements within a range, rather than focusing on buying on dips or selling on rallies.
Today's EURUSD trade saw a wait-and-see attitude across the market ahead of important indicators, with little movement until New York time. Even after the indicators were released, there were few surprises, and no bias in buying or selling was seen, leading to a continued lack of direction in the market. European markets also saw only small price movements, with the market generally moving within a range. As a result, there were limited opportunities to implement strategies such as buying on dips or selling on rallies, making it a quiet day.
Today, the GBP/USD market as a whole adopted a wait-and-see attitude ahead of important indicators, resulting in little movement until New York time. Even after the indicators were released, there were no surprises, and trading did not develop with any sense of direction, resulting in only small price movements. In the European market, buying and selling activity was also limited, making it a day lacking a clear trend. Overall, there were few instances of active buying on dips or selling on rallies, and the market moved quietly within a range.
Selling dominated the AUD/USD market today in Tokyo, temporarily raising the possibility of buying on dips, but the European market remained flat and lacking direction. After entering the New York market, dollar buying intensified following the release of indicators, causing the Australian dollar to fall further. As a result, the upside was perceived as heavy throughout the day, and there were no opportunities to buy on dips. Overall, it can be said that it was a day in which being aware of selling on rallies was more effective.
Market Information
| Classification | Tokyo | London | new york |
|
session (Summer Time) |
～ | ～ | ～ |
| Price Fluctuations【 USDJPY 】 | |||
| Price Fluctuations【 EURUSD 】 | |||
| Price Fluctuations【 GBPUSD 】 | |||
| Price Fluctuations【 AUDUSD 】 |
* In the PonTan chart, the background is colored according to the above market sessions.
AI's move: How will you attack today?
Market Summary
USDJPY lacks clear direction, leading to a wait-and-see attitude
New positions tend to be held back ahead of important indicators, limiting price movements
Expected range
The lower limit is expected to be around 147.80, and the upper limit is expected to be around 148.50.
Focus on moving within a range rather than forming a major trend
tactics
Mainly focus on range rotation, and flexibly combine buying on dips and selling on rallies.
Avoid chasing high prices or selling low prices, and aim for a small range by identifying reversal points.
trigger
If it breaks above 148.50, the buying trend is likely to strengthen.
If it breaks below 147.80, selling pressure will likely be felt.
US economic data may provide short-term direction
Nullification Conditions
If the price falls below 147.50, the dip buying strategy will be negated.
If the price rises above 148.70 and settles there, the premise of the pullback selling strategy will collapse.
It is also necessary to anticipate a sudden fluctuation after the release of the indicators that could negate the range.
Risk Event
US economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Changes in interest rate outlook due to comments from Fed officials
Risk aversion due to stock market and geopolitical risks
Position Management
Lot size should be kept smaller than usual and decentralized entry should be the basis
Take profits around 148.40-148.50, stop loss set below 147.50
Focus on short-term trades and keep long-term positions conservative
Checklist
Can the support around 147.80 be maintained?
Can it break through the resistance around 148.50?
Will US economic indicators lead to a breakout from the range?
ChatGPT:
Market Summary
EURUSD continues to move without direction, with buying and selling pressure intersecting.
With important indicators coming up, market participants are increasingly holding back on new positions.
Expected range
The downside is expected to be around 1.0870, and the upside is expected to be around 1.0930.
Keep travel within this range until major news emerges
tactics
The basic principle is to prioritize range rotation and flexibly respond to buying on dips and selling on rallies.
It is effective to focus on short-term contrarian trading and refrain from aiming for a breakout
trigger
A clear break above 1.0930 could accelerate buying
If it breaks below 1.0870, selling pressure is likely to intensify.
US economic data releases will provide short-term direction
Nullification Conditions
If the price breaks below 1.0850, the dip buying strategy will be negated.
Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.0950 and settles there, the premise of the pullback selling strategy will collapse.
Sudden fluctuations due to the release of indicators may cause range strategies to become ineffective.
Risk Event
Major US economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Changes in interest rate outlook due to comments from Fed officials
European inflation data and business sentiment index
Position Management
Keep lot size to about half of normal size and base on decentralized entry
Profit target is 1.0920-1.0930, stop loss is set below 1.0850
Focus on short-term trading and avoid building large positions
Checklist
Can the support around 1.0870 hold?
Can it break through the resistance near 1.0930?
Will there be a move to break out of the range in response to US economic indicators?
Market Summary
GBP/USD is on hold ahead of important economic indicators
Although the market was conscious of a downward trend, there were no major movements the previous day, mainly due to adjustments.
Expected range
The downside is expected to be around 1.2680, and the upside is expected to be around 1.2760.
Due to the influence of waiting for indicators, the trend is likely to be centered within this range.
tactics
The basic rule is to prioritize selling on rallies and prepare for a downward movement
It is also effective to flexibly use buying on dips and selling on rallies within the range.
trigger
If it breaks below 1.2680, selling pressure will likely be felt.
A break above 1.2760 could signal increased buying in the short term
Economic data from the US and UK will provide direction
Nullification Conditions
If the price clearly breaks above 1.2800 and settles there, the sell-on-rebound strategy will be negated.
Conversely, if the price falls below 1.2650, the dip buying strategy will become less effective.
Range strategies are also invalid when unexpected factors cause large fluctuations up and down.
Risk Event
US economic indicators (ISM, employment-related data, etc.)
Changes in pound supply and demand due to UK economic indicators and statements by important figures
Risk aversion due to geopolitical risks and stock market fluctuations
Position Management
Keep lot size small and aim for diversified entries
Take profits around 1.2690-1.2700, stop loss above 1.2800
Maintain short-term rotation and keep long-term positions conservative
Checklist
Will it break below the support around 1.2680?
Can it break through the resistance near 1.2760?
Will US and UK economic data affect the market?
Market Summary
AUD/USD is facing important indicators, and the market as a whole is adopting a wait-and-see attitude
While the trend is upward, the focus is on whether there will be any aggressive moves to chase higher prices.
Expected range
The downside is expected to be around 0.6670, and the upside is expected to be around 0.6730.
It is easy to predict a range movement centered around this range while waiting for indicators.
tactics
While focusing on buying on dips, we will also be flexible in considering selling on rallies.
It is effective to focus on short-term turnover without assuming a trend will occur.
trigger
A clear break above 0.6730 is likely to strengthen buying momentum.
If it breaks below 0.6670, selling pressure is likely to be felt in the short term.
European market movements and US economic indicators could be short-term triggers
Nullification Conditions
If the price breaks below 0.6650, the dip buying strategy will be negated.
On the other hand, if the price breaks above 0.6750 and settles there, the sell-on-return strategy will no longer work.
The range strategy itself may be invalidated due to sudden fluctuations after the index is released.
Risk Event
Major US economic indicators (employment-related, ISM, etc.)
Impact of fluctuations in Chinese economic indicators and commodity prices on the Australian dollar
Australian domestic inflation indicators and comments from RBA officials
Position Management
Lot size should be kept smaller than usual, and decentralized entry should be the basis.
Profit target is around 0.6720-0.6730, stop loss is set below 0.6650
Avoid chasing high prices and prioritize short-term turnover
Checklist
Can the support around 0.6670 hold?
Can it break through the resistance near 0.6730?
Will volatility increase following US and Chinese data releases?
AI Afterword: Today's Market
Looking back
USD/JPY lacked direction throughout the day as investors took a wait-and-see approach ahead of key indicators.
summary
There were no major price movements until New York time, and temporary buying occurred after the index was announced.
However, the upward movement was limited, and in the end, the price only moved slightly within the range.
Today's price movements
Tokyo time saw slight fluctuations around 148.00
The European market also lacked direction, moving within a narrow range of 148.10 to 147.90.
During New York trading, the index was followed by buying up to around 148.30, but then it lost momentum and returned to the range.
Background/materials
The market refrained from aggressive trading, focusing on important indicators later in the week.
US long-term interest rates remained firm, but the impact on the foreign exchange market was limited.
There was little new information from Europe either, and a wait-and-see attitude prevailed.
Technical Memo (Short Term)
The 147.90 level was seen as support, and this was a factor in supporting the lower end.
The area around 148.30 was seen as resistance, and the price did not break above it.
Technical Memo (Mid-term)
On the daily chart, the range appears to be continuing, and the direction is limited unless it exceeds 148.50.
The moving average is also flat, indicating a medium-term trend of holding.
Impressions
Even after the announcement of the indicators, no clear trend emerged, and the market appears to have remained within a range.
It was a day when market participants were cautious and in a mood of waiting for new information.
Trading Impressions
It was an environment where you could buy on dips and sell on rallies, but the profit margins were limited.
Chasing high prices and selling low prices is risky, so short-term trading was the norm.
Checklist
Can the support around 147.90 be maintained?
Can it break through the resistance around 148.30?
Will there be a breakout of the range in important indicators later in the week?
Looking back
The EURUSD was in a wait-and-see attitude ahead of important indicators, and lacked direction throughout the day.
summary
There was little movement until New York time, and there were few surprises even after the index
European markets also saw only small price movements, with prices mostly moving within a range.
Today's price movements
During Tokyo hours, the price continued to move little around 1.0900
In the European market, the exchange rate remained within a narrow range of 1.0910 to 1.0890.
Even after the release of the index during New York time, there was only temporary buying up to around 1.0920, and then it became stagnant again.
Background/materials
A lack of major news in both the US and Europe led investors to adopt a wait-and-see attitude
US data came in line with expectations, limiting the impact on currency markets
There was a lack of new supportive factors from Europe, which contributed to a lack of direction.
Technical Memo (Short Term)
1.0890 was seen as support on the downside
The level around 1.0920 became a short-term resistance level, and no breakthrough was seen.
Technical Memo (Mid-term)
The range of 1.0850 to 1.0950 remains in focus
The moving averages are flat, confirming a medium-term consolidation trend.
Impressions
The market remained quiet with no clear direction overall.
Many participants waited for important indicators, and there was a strong impression that active trading was restrained.
Trading Impressions
Buying on dips and selling on rallies was difficult, and trading opportunities were limited.
The strategy focused on short-term turnover and small gains, and there were few opportunities for large profits.
Checklist
Can the support around 1.0890 hold?
Can it break through the resistance near 1.0920?
Will new indicators from the US and Europe provide a sense of direction for the market?
Looking back
GBP/USD remained in a range-bound position throughout the day as investors took a wait-and-see approach ahead of important indicators.
summary
There were no major fluctuations until New York time, and surprises were limited even after the index.
The European market also saw little buying or selling activity, resulting in a day lacking direction.
Today's price movements
During Tokyo hours, the exchange rate fluctuated slightly around 1.2760.
In the European market, the pair fluctuated between 1.2770 and 1.2740, with no clear direction.
The price moved temporarily following the release of the index during New York time, but eventually returned to the 1.2760 range.
Background/materials
The market has been reluctant to actively buy and sell ahead of important US and UK indicators.
The US data released was as expected, limiting the impact on the foreign exchange market.
There was a lack of new information from the European side, which led to continued range trading.
Technical Memo (Short Term)
The 1.2740 level was seen as support.
Resistance was seen around 1.2770, and no short-term break was seen.
Technical Memo (Mid-term)
The range of 1.2700 to 1.2800 continues, and the trend will continue in the medium term.
The moving averages are showing a flat trend, confirming the trendless situation.
Impressions
The market lacked direction throughout the period, and moved quietly within a range.
There is a strong sense that active trading has been suppressed due to the market being in a waiting period for new information.
Trading Impressions
The timing for buying on dips and selling on rallies was limited, making it difficult to make profits.
The focus was on short-term contrarian strategies, and there were few opportunities for significant profits.
Checklist
Will the support around 1.2740 hold?
Can it break through the resistance near 1.2770?
Will new indicators from the US and UK provide a sense of direction?
Looking back
AUD/USD fell after selling dominated in Tokyo and dollar buying strengthened following the New York index.
summary
The European market was lackluster, with a general lack of direction.
Dollar buying intensified in the New York market, and the Australian dollar further tested its lower limit.
Today's price movements
In the Tokyo market, selling became dominant around 0.6700, causing a noticeable downward pressure.
In the European market, the price fluctuated within a narrow range of 0.6680 to 0.6700, limiting the direction of the price.
Following the release of the index in the New York market, dollar buying intensified, causing the dollar to fall to around 0.6660.
Background/materials
US economic data was in line with market expectations, triggering dollar buying
There was little support for the Australian dollar as there was no notable change in China-related news or commodity prices.
There was no new news from within Australia, and the environment was easily affected by external factors.
Technical Memo (Short Term)
Support was seen around 0.6660, but no strong rebound was seen.
The area around 0.6700 acted as resistance and became a benchmark for selling on rebounds.
Technical Memo (Mid-term)
On a daily basis, downward pressure is apparent, and the upward trend remains heavy even in the recovery phase.
Unless the price breaks out of the 0.6650-0.6750 range, it will likely remain in a medium-term consolidation.
Impressions
Although there were some moments that made people think about buying on dips, the day was dominated by selling on rallies.
The Australian dollar's upside potential was highlighted, and it appeared that a cautious stance was required.
Trading Impressions
The strategy of buying on dips did not work, and selling on rallies took priority.
In the short term, it was effective to aim for small profit taking with support in mind.
Rather than expecting a major trend to form, short-term rotations were the focus.
Checklist
Will the support around 0.6660 hold?
Can it break through the resistance near 0.6700?
Will US economic indicators and commodity prices affect the Australian dollar?
FX Journal